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Sunday Night · Week 5

First kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM EDT · 1 gameboard v1
BAL @ ATL8:20 PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
lottery ticketreview needed
Derrick Henry
Starter· history rating 30/100
Derrick Henry
Justice Hill
Next man up
Justice HillRB2receiving12% rostered · likely free

Next up behind Derrick Henry; depth chart RB2.

62
successor score
Rest of the stableRasheen Ali (RB3)Expand
  • Rasheen Ali
    Rasheen AliRB3change of pace0% rostered · free long shot

    Third back and Baltimore's primary kickoff returner, with most of his snaps on special teams. The team's own July camp preview framed him as competing for the No. 3 job rather than for offensive touches, and Henry's Week 3 workload leaves no rotation behind him. Hill, not Ali, is the stated fallback if Henry sits.

    Injury history: Missed time as a rookie in 2024 and sat for stretches in 2025; no chronic condition reported. Active and off Baltimore's injury report through Week 3 of 2026.

    46
    score
Full depth chart & player scouting
Why this pick · the matrix

Evidence: low. Stash priority: 59/100. Scores are rankings, not probabilities.

Rostered in 12% of ESPN leagues when this board was built. Your league may differ; if he is taken, check the rest of the stable for a lower-rostered back.

Depth chart×24
RB2
23.5
Role fit×24
receiving
9.4
Talent×18
tier 3/5
8.8
Clear path×18
rivals: Rasheen Ali (passing downs)
15.5
Could take the job×12
backup profile
1.4
Own health×6
availability unverified
2.9
Justice Hill · regular-season history
Regular-season rushing and receiving statistics for Justice Hill
SeasonGames*CarriesRush ydsTargetsRecRec ydsTD
20264146065440
202510189327211693

Last 3 games with stats for BAL: 2.7 carries and 1.7 targets per game.

*Games with a recorded stat line; not an attendance or injury measure. Stats exclude this game week. Source: nflverse

Derrick Henry · regular-season history
Regular-season rushing and receiving statistics for Derrick Henry
SeasonGames*CarriesRush ydsTargetsRecRec ydsTD
202648937477447
2025173071595211515016

Last 3 games with stats for BAL: 21.7 carries and 2 targets per game.

*Games with a recorded stat line; not an attendance or injury measure. Stats exclude this game week. Source: nflverse

Justice Hill is listed RB2 on the Baltimore Ravens depth chart behind Derrick Henry. Deterministic pick; the model overview was unavailable.

Backfield news: Adam Randall: Out (espn_rosters)

Scouting: Baltimore's passing-down back and Lamar Jackson's trusted protector, described by the team as a runner, receiver and blocker who spells Henry rather than replacing him. Henry's 26-carry Week 3 shows the split is unchanged. If Henry missed time Hill would keep passing downs and share early work, not inherit a 15-carry role.

Starter injury history: Played all 17 games in each of 2023, 2024 and 2025 (2025: 307 carries, 1,595 yds, 16 TD). Has not missed a game to injury since a broken foot cost him nine games in 2021. Elevated only for age 32 and repeated 300-plus-carry seasons. Healthy and off the injury report through Week 3 of 2026.

Analyst write-up pending; deterministic pick shown.

Atlanta Falcons
lottery ticketreview needed
Bijan Robinson
Starter· history rating 20/100
Bijan Robinson
Brian Robinson Jr.
Next man up
Brian Robinson Jr.RB2early down27% rostered · likely free

Next up behind Bijan Robinson; depth chart RB2.

73
successor score
Full depth chart & player scouting
Why this pick · the matrix

Evidence: low. Stash priority: 65/100. Scores are rankings, not probabilities.

Rostered in 27% of ESPN leagues when this board was built. Your league may differ; if he is taken, check the rest of the stable for a lower-rostered back.

Depth chart×24
RB2
23.5
Role fit×24
early down
18.8
Talent×18
tier 3/5
8.8
Clear path×18
clear path
17.6
Could take the job×12
backup profile
1.4
Own health×6
availability unverified
2.9
Brian Robinson Jr. · regular-season history
Regular-season rushing and receiving statistics for Brian Robinson Jr.
SeasonGames*CarriesRush ydsTargetsRecRec ydsTD
202644419433214
20251792400128252

Last 3 games with stats for ATL: 11.7 carries and 1 targets per game.

*Games with a recorded stat line; not an attendance or injury measure. Stats exclude this game week. Source: nflverse

Bijan Robinson · regular-season history
Regular-season rushing and receiving statistics for Bijan Robinson
SeasonGames*CarriesRush ydsTargetsRecRec ydsTD
202648549418141205
20251728714781037982011

Last 3 games with stats for ATL: 21.3 carries and 2.7 targets per game.

*Games with a recorded stat line; not an attendance or injury measure. Stats exclude this game week. Source: nflverse

Brian Robinson Jr. is listed RB2 on the Atlanta Falcons depth chart behind Bijan Robinson. Deterministic pick; the model overview was unavailable.

Backfield news: Trey Sermon: Out (espn_rosters)

Scouting: Atlanta's RB2 on the Week 3 depth chart and the power/short-yardage complement to Bijan Robinson. Would head an early-down committee if Bijan missed time, though Atlanta would likely spread passing-down work. Currently managing an ankle injury — limited Sept. 21, Thursday status unresolved.

Starter injury history: 2023-2025: played all 17 games each season; 2025 league-high 2,298 scrimmage yards on 366 touches. No significant injury absence in three years; small bump only for back-to-back 300-plus-touch workloads. 2026: not listed on Atlanta's Week 3 estimated injury report (Sept. 21) and still RB1 on the Week 3 depth chart.

Analyst write-up pending; deterministic pick shown.

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